The Pitfall and the Pendulum: A Scenario Planning Case Study
This case study encourages participants to elicit problems and potential pitfalls in a situation when everything appears to be going well. Allow around 45 minutes for completion.
Scenario Planning
Royal Dutch/Shell
Royal Dutch/Shell was instrumental in bringing scenarios to the attention of the business world. This article looks at how this was achieved and its legacy for today’s organisations.
Idon Model of Scenario Planning
Idon Associates is an international consultancy, specialising in strategic thinking. Their approach to scenario planning is outlined in this article.
The Mont Fleur Scenarios
An article outlining the lessons from the Mont Fleur Scenarios used to focus public and political attention on the direction South Africa should take in the wake of the dismantling of Apartheid.
Schwartz’s 8-Step Process
In his best-selling book, 'The Art of the Long View', Peter Schwartz advocates a basic eight-step process for those embarking upon a scenario planning project. This article outlines Schwartz’s advice.
Scenario Planning Overview
Scenario planning can help organisations to plan long-term by developing hypotheses to enable a vision of what might happen in the future. This article looks at some of the leading thinkers, the scenario planning process and some of the advantages and disadvantages.
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Stages of Scenario Planning
Lawrence Wilkinson’s article, 'How to Build Scenarios', outlines the basic components necessary to create an effective scenario strategy within an organisation.
Considering The Future Using Scenario Planning
This exercise is an excellent way to kick off an exploration of planning for the future and its benefits for the organisation. The exercise can also be easily adapted to tackle the future of departmental or organisational aspirations, or a particular product/service. Allow 30 minutes for completion.
Kees van der Heijden – The Sixth Sense
The name Kees van der Heijden is synonymous with the art of scenario planning. This article explores van der Heijden’s thoughts on how scenario planning can give organisations the much sought after competitive edge.
Scenario Analysis
Use Scenario Analysis to predict potential outcomes of your desired strategies or decisions, and so minimize risk and avoid worst case scenarios.
The Secrets of Successful Scenario Planning Infographic
Prepare yourself and your team for sudden and potentially unexpected changes in the future by using scenarios. Learn more with this infographic.
Flux: 8 Superpowers for Thriving in Constant Change
In this podcast, futurist April Rinne talks to us about her book "Flux" and how we can all develop superpowers to thrive in a world of constant change.